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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

51%

Rennes

1.97

26%

Draw

3.88

24%

Lille

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.48

0.95

Lille xG

51%
26%
24%
RennesDrawLille

1.97

51%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

39%

Rennes

2.59

22%

Lille

4.60

Win to Nil

20%

Rennes

5.12

5%

Lille

19.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 8.0 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.8 12.2 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.3 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.0 4.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.526
λ Away (xG) 0.952
Total xG 2.478
League avg home goals 1.411
League avg away goals 1.174
Rennes attack strength 1.151
Rennes defence strength 0.903
Lille attack strength 0.897
Lille defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59