Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

53%

Rennes

1.90

24%

Draw

4.11

23%

Lens

4.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.67

1.01

Lens xG

53%
24%
23%
RennesDrawLens

1.90

53%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.37

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

36%

Rennes

2.74

19%

Lens

5.29

Win to Nil

19%

Rennes

5.20

4%

Lens

23.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.0 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.5 11.6 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.6 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.3 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.666
λ Away (xG) 1.009
Total xG 2.675
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.192
Rennes attack strength 1.100
Rennes defence strength 0.861
Lens attack strength 0.983
Lens defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39