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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Relegation Round

Kick-off

Thu 29 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stade Auguste-Delaune

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

28%

Reims

3.53

28%

Draw

3.59

44%

Metz

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Reims xG

Total xG

2.47

1.40

Metz xG

28%
28%
44%
ReimsDrawMetz

3.53

28%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

25%

Reims

4.06

34%

Metz

2.93

Win to Nil

7%

Reims

14.31

15%

Metz

6.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 11.8 8.2 3.8 1.3 0.4
1 9.0 12.7 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.9 6.8 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.2
3 1.7 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.075
λ Away (xG) 1.400
Total xG 2.475
League avg home goals 1.546
League avg away goals 1.377
Reims attack strength 0.694
Reims defence strength 1.020
Metz attack strength 0.997
Metz defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 34