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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

54%

Paris Saint Germain

1.84

24%

Draw

4.19

22%

Strasbourg

4.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.71

0.99

Strasbourg xG

54%
24%
22%
Paris Saint GermainDrawStrasbourg

1.84

54%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

4.59

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

37%

Paris Saint Germain

2.70

18%

Strasbourg

5.55

Win to Nil

20%

Paris Saint Germain

4.97

4%

Strasbourg

25.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 6.6 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.4 11.4 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.6 5.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.4 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.714
λ Away (xG) 0.993
Total xG 2.707
League avg home goals 1.621
League avg away goals 1.200
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.081
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.725
Strasbourg attack strength 1.141
Strasbourg defence strength 0.979
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41