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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

75%

Paris Saint Germain

1.33

16%

Draw

6.10

9%

Stade Brestois 29

11.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.6%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 0

9.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.66

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.51

0.85

Stade Brestois 29 xG

75%
16%
Paris Saint GermainDrawStade Brestois 29

1.33

75%

Home win

6.10

16%

Draw

11.59

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

43%

Paris Saint Germain

2.34

7%

Stade Brestois 29

14.35

Win to Nil

32%

Paris Saint Germain

3.12

1%

Stade Brestois 29

166.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 7.9 6.7 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 10.6 9.0 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 9.4 8.0 3.4 1.0 0.2
4 6.2 5.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
5 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.664
λ Away (xG) 0.850
Total xG 3.514
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.292
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.392
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.911
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.722
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.261
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65