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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

20:05

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

58%

Paris Saint Germain

1.72

23%

Draw

4.44

19%

Rennes

5.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.85

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.81

0.96

Rennes xG

58%
23%
19%
Paris Saint GermainDrawRennes

1.72

58%

Home win

4.44

23%

Draw

5.19

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

38%

Paris Saint Germain

2.61

16%

Rennes

6.34

Win to Nil

22%

Paris Saint Germain

4.49

3%

Rennes

32.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.8 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 10.7 5.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.3 6.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.9 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.847
λ Away (xG) 0.960
Total xG 2.807
League avg home goals 1.616
League avg away goals 1.166
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.153
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.792
Rennes attack strength 1.040
Rennes defence strength 0.991
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48