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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

16:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

59%

Paris Saint Germain

1.70

20%

Draw

5.05

21%

Nice

4.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.55

1.30

Nice xG

59%
20%
21%
Paris Saint GermainDrawNice

1.70

59%

Home win

5.05

20%

Draw

4.70

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

27%

Paris Saint Germain

3.67

10%

Nice

9.53

Win to Nil

16%

Paris Saint Germain

6.23

2%

Nice

44.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.4 8.4 5.5 2.4 0.8 0.2
2 7.3 9.4 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.5 7.1 4.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 3.1 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.254
λ Away (xG) 1.301
Total xG 3.555
League avg home goals 1.750
League avg away goals 1.271
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.118
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.912
Nice attack strength 1.122
Nice defence strength 1.152
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44