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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Wed 22 Apr 2026

18:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

62%

Paris Saint Germain

1.60

24%

Draw

4.09

13%

Nantes

7.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.62

0.76

Nantes xG

62%
24%
13%
Paris Saint GermainDrawNantes

1.60

62%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

7.59

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

47%

Paris Saint Germain

2.13

15%

Nantes

6.46

Win to Nil

29%

Paris Saint Germain

3.41

2%

Nantes

49.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.6 10.3 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.7 9.6 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.9 5.9 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 3.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
5 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.865
λ Away (xG) 0.755
Total xG 2.620
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.233
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.409
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.892
Nantes attack strength 0.686
Nantes defence strength 0.923
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 63