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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Fri 7 Feb 2025

20:05

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

50%

Paris Saint Germain

2.01

28%

Draw

3.59

22%

Monaco

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.96

1.17

Monaco xG

50%
28%
22%
Paris Saint GermainDrawMonaco

2.01

50%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

31%

Paris Saint Germain

3.21

17%

Monaco

6.00

Win to Nil

15%

Paris Saint Germain

6.47

4%

Monaco

26.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.1 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.3 10.9 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.7 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 5.0 5.8 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.791
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 2.958
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.311
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.258
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.856
Monaco attack strength 1.040
Monaco defence strength 0.954
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54