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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 8 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

55%

Paris Saint Germain

1.82

21%

Draw

4.66

24%

Marseille

4.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

2 – 0

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.29

1.27

Marseille xG

55%
21%
24%
Paris Saint GermainDrawMarseille

1.82

55%

Home win

4.66

21%

Draw

4.22

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

28%

Paris Saint Germain

3.56

13%

Marseille

7.57

Win to Nil

15%

Paris Saint Germain

6.48

3%

Marseille

31.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 4.7 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 7.5 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 9.7 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.1 6.5 4.1 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.024
λ Away (xG) 1.269
Total xG 3.293
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.189
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.403
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.733
Marseille attack strength 1.456
Marseille defence strength 0.993
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54