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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 15 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

44%

Paris Saint Germain

2.27

28%

Draw

3.56

28%

Lyon

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.77

1.20

Lyon xG

44%
28%
28%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLyon

2.27

44%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

30%

Paris Saint Germain

3.33

21%

Lyon

4.77

Win to Nil

13%

Paris Saint Germain

7.55

6%

Lyon

17.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.6 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 9.8 11.8 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.2 5.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 4.8 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.203
Total xG 2.765
League avg home goals 1.499
League avg away goals 1.275
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.359
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.823
Lyon attack strength 1.146
Lyon defence strength 0.767
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48