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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

20:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

61%

Paris Saint Germain

1.63

20%

Draw

5.10

19%

Lille

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

2 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.25

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.44

1.19

Lille xG

61%
20%
19%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLille

1.63

61%

Home win

5.10

20%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

30%

Paris Saint Germain

3.29

11%

Lille

9.45

Win to Nil

19%

Paris Saint Germain

5.37

2%

Lille

49.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 7.2 8.6 5.1 2.0 0.6 0.1
2 8.1 9.7 5.7 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 6.1 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 3.4 4.1 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.246
λ Away (xG) 1.190
Total xG 3.436
League avg home goals 1.531
League avg away goals 1.214
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.351
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.775
Lille attack strength 1.265
Lille defence strength 1.086
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51