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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

20:05

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

42%

Paris Saint Germain

2.39

30%

Draw

3.38

29%

Lille

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.59

1.16

Lille xG

42%
30%
29%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLille

2.39

42%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

31%

Paris Saint Germain

3.18

24%

Lille

4.21

Win to Nil

13%

Paris Saint Germain

7.60

7%

Lille

14.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 8.6 5.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.7 12.4 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 8.9 5.2 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.7 4.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.438
λ Away (xG) 1.156
Total xG 2.594
League avg home goals 1.578
League avg away goals 1.375
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.294
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.853
Lille attack strength 0.986
Lille defence strength 0.704
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57