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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

44%

Paris Saint Germain

2.26

26%

Draw

3.89

30%

Lens

3.32

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.66

1.18

Lens xG

44%
26%
30%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLens

2.26

44%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.32

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

31%

Paris Saint Germain

3.24

23%

Lens

4.39

Win to Nil

14%

Paris Saint Germain

7.34

7%

Lens

14.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.4 12.2 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.0 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 3.8 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.480
λ Away (xG) 1.176
Total xG 2.656
League avg home goals 1.668
League avg away goals 1.269
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.053
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.861
Lens attack strength 1.076
Lens defence strength 0.842
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37