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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

43%

Paris FC

2.34

28%

Draw

3.52

29%

Stade Brestois 29

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.83

1.26

Stade Brestois 29 xG

43%
28%
29%
Paris FCDrawStade Brestois 29

2.34

43%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

28%

Paris FC

3.53

21%

Stade Brestois 29

4.81

Win to Nil

12%

Paris FC

8.27

6%

Stade Brestois 29

16.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.4 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 9.2 11.7 7.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.2 5.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.8 4.8 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.570
λ Away (xG) 1.262
Total xG 2.832
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.299
Paris FC attack strength 0.939
Paris FC defence strength 1.210
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.803
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 64