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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

19%

Paris FC

5.30

23%

Draw

4.32

58%

Paris Saint Germain

1.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Paris FC xG

Total xG

3.08

2.01

Paris Saint Germain xG

19%
23%
58%
Paris FCDrawParis Saint Germain

5.30

19%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

1.72

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

13%

Paris FC

7.45

34%

Paris Saint Germain

2.94

Win to Nil

3%

Paris FC

39.49

20%

Paris Saint Germain

5.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6 9.2 9.2 6.2 3.1 1.2
1 4.9 9.9 9.9 6.6 3.3 1.3
2 2.7 5.3 5.3 3.6 1.8 0.7
3 1.0 1.9 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.3
4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.077
λ Away (xG) 2.008
Total xG 3.085
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Paris FC attack strength 1.095
Paris FC defence strength 1.126
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.372
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.669
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 67