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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

38%

Paris FC

2.61

27%

Draw

3.74

35%

Nantes

2.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.54

1.23

Nantes xG

38%
27%
35%
Paris FCDrawNantes

2.61

38%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.86

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

29%

Paris FC

3.43

27%

Nantes

3.69

Win to Nil

11%

Paris FC

8.96

9%

Nantes

10.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.3 12.7 7.8 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.7 8.3 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.306
λ Away (xG) 1.234
Total xG 2.540
League avg home goals 1.714
League avg away goals 1.275
Paris FC attack strength 0.964
Paris FC defence strength 1.238
Nantes attack strength 0.782
Nantes defence strength 0.791
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 8 / 42