Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

56%

Paris FC

1.78

22%

Draw

4.49

22%

Lorient

4.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.99

1.09

Lorient xG

56%
22%
22%
Paris FCDrawLorient

1.78

56%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

4.64

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

34%

Paris FC

2.98

15%

Lorient

6.67

Win to Nil

19%

Paris FC

5.30

3%

Lorient

30.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 9.6 10.4 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.9 5.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.2
5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.897
λ Away (xG) 1.091
Total xG 2.988
League avg home goals 1.628
League avg away goals 1.175
Paris FC attack strength 1.009
Paris FC defence strength 1.403
Lorient attack strength 0.662
Lorient defence strength 1.154
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 6