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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

23%

Paris FC

4.28

24%

Draw

4.25

53%

Lens

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.84

1.75

Lens xG

23%
24%
53%
Paris FCDrawLens

4.28

23%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

17%

Paris FC

5.77

34%

Lens

2.95

Win to Nil

4%

Paris FC

24.68

18%

Lens

5.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 10.3 9.0 5.3 2.3 0.8
1 6.4 11.1 9.8 5.7 2.5 0.9
2 3.4 6.0 5.3 3.1 1.4 0.5
3 1.2 2.2 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.083
λ Away (xG) 1.753
Total xG 2.836
League avg home goals 1.496
League avg away goals 1.169
Paris FC attack strength 0.800
Paris FC defence strength 1.257
Lens attack strength 1.194
Lens defence strength 0.905
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 55