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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 3 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

67%

Nice

1.50

21%

Draw

4.71

12%

Rennes

8.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.17

Nice xG

Total xG

3.01

0.84

Rennes xG

67%
21%
12%
NiceDrawRennes

1.50

67%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

8.35

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

43%

Nice

2.31

11%

Rennes

8.79

Win to Nil

29%

Nice

3.46

1%

Rennes

73.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 10.7 9.0 3.7 1.0 0.2
2 11.6 9.7 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 8.4 7.1 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 4.6 3.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
5 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.174
λ Away (xG) 0.837
Total xG 3.011
League avg home goals 1.518
League avg away goals 1.299
Nice attack strength 1.289
Nice defence strength 0.891
Rennes attack strength 0.723
Rennes defence strength 1.111
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49