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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 2 May 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

48%

Nice

2.10

29%

Draw

3.39

23%

Reims

4.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Nice xG

Total xG

2.11

0.81

Reims xG

48%
29%
23%
NiceDrawReims

2.10

48%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

4.38

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

45%

Nice

2.24

27%

Reims

3.66

Win to Nil

21%

Nice

4.70

6%

Reims

16.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 9.8 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 15.8 12.8 5.2 1.4 0.3
2 10.3 8.3 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.298
λ Away (xG) 0.808
Total xG 2.106
League avg home goals 1.484
League avg away goals 1.419
Nice attack strength 1.031
Nice defence strength 0.882
Reims attack strength 0.646
Reims defence strength 0.849
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65