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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

16:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

55%

Nice

1.82

24%

Draw

4.24

21%

Nantes

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Nice xG

Total xG

2.73

0.99

Nantes xG

55%
24%
21%
NiceDrawNantes

1.82

55%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

37%

Nice

2.69

18%

Nantes

5.71

Win to Nil

20%

Nice

4.89

4%

Nantes

26.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.4 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.3 11.2 5.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.9 9.8 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.7 5.7 2.8 0.9 0.2
4 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.742
λ Away (xG) 0.990
Total xG 2.732
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.269
Nice attack strength 1.072
Nice defence strength 0.896
Nantes attack strength 0.870
Nantes defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37