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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 4 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

66%

Nice

1.52

19%

Draw

5.14

15%

Nantes

6.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.23

Nice xG

Total xG

3.19

0.96

Nantes xG

66%
19%
15%
NiceDrawNantes

1.52

66%

Home win

5.14

19%

Draw

6.80

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

38%

Nice

2.61

11%

Nantes

9.30

Win to Nil

25%

Nice

3.97

2%

Nantes

63.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1 4.0 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.2 8.8 4.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 10.2 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 7.6 7.3 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 4.2 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.2
5 1.9 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.230
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 3.191
League avg home goals 1.507
League avg away goals 1.419
Nice attack strength 1.067
Nice defence strength 0.795
Nantes attack strength 0.852
Nantes defence strength 1.386
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61