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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 23 Feb 2025

16:15

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

72%

Nice

1.38

19%

Draw

5.36

9%

Montpellier

11.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

3 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.32

Nice xG

Total xG

3.04

0.72

Montpellier xG

72%
19%
NiceDrawMontpellier

1.38

72%

Home win

5.36

19%

Draw

11.12

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

49%

Nice

2.06

10%

Montpellier

10.18

Win to Nil

35%

Nice

2.85

1%

Montpellier

113.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.1 8.0 2.9 0.7 0.1
2 12.8 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 9.9 7.2 2.6 0.6 0.1
4 5.8 4.2 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 2.7 1.9 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.320
λ Away (xG) 0.723
Total xG 3.043
League avg home goals 1.574
League avg away goals 1.331
Nice attack strength 1.303
Nice defence strength 0.774
Montpellier attack strength 0.701
Montpellier defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56