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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

56%

Nice

1.78

23%

Draw

4.35

21%

Lyon

4.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Nice xG

Total xG

3.13

1.14

Lyon xG

56%
23%
21%
NiceDrawLyon

1.78

56%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

4.80

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

32%

Nice

3.14

14%

Lyon

7.26

Win to Nil

18%

Nice

5.58

3%

Lyon

34.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.7 9.9 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.6 9.9 5.6 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.983
λ Away (xG) 1.143
Total xG 3.126
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.394
Nice attack strength 1.305
Nice defence strength 0.712
Lyon attack strength 1.151
Lyon defence strength 1.005
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58