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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

16:15

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

43%

Nice

2.33

28%

Draw

3.51

29%

Lorient

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Nice xG

Total xG

2.24

0.98

Lorient xG

43%
28%
29%
NiceDrawLorient

2.33

43%

Home win

3.51

28%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

38%

Nice

2.65

28%

Lorient

3.53

Win to Nil

16%

Nice

6.20

8%

Lorient

12.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 10.4 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.5 13.1 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.3 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.6 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.260
λ Away (xG) 0.976
Total xG 2.236
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.221
Nice attack strength 0.868
Nice defence strength 1.021
Lorient attack strength 0.783
Lorient defence strength 0.976
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 22