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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

16:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

41%

Nice

2.43

31%

Draw

3.25

28%

Lens

3.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Nice xG

Total xG

2.69

1.21

Lens xG

41%
31%
28%
NiceDrawLens

2.43

41%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

3.56

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

30%

Nice

3.34

23%

Lens

4.42

Win to Nil

12%

Nice

8.12

6%

Lens

15.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 8.2 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.1 12.1 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.0 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.487
λ Away (xG) 1.205
Total xG 2.692
League avg home goals 1.510
League avg away goals 1.309
Nice attack strength 1.310
Nice defence strength 0.852
Lens attack strength 1.081
Lens defence strength 0.752
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54