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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

31%

Nantes

3.22

28%

Draw

3.59

41%

Strasbourg

2.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.60

1.41

Strasbourg xG

31%
28%
41%
NantesDrawStrasbourg

3.22

31%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.43

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

24%

Nantes

4.09

30%

Strasbourg

3.30

Win to Nil

8%

Nantes

13.18

12%

Strasbourg

8.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 10.4 7.4 3.5 1.2 0.3
1 8.8 12.5 8.8 4.1 1.5 0.4
2 5.3 7.4 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.2
3 2.1 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.193
λ Away (xG) 1.409
Total xG 2.602
League avg home goals 1.541
League avg away goals 1.397
Nantes attack strength 0.907
Nantes defence strength 1.015
Strasbourg attack strength 0.993
Strasbourg defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58