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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

33%

Nantes

3.05

25%

Draw

3.95

42%

Paris Saint Germain

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.77

1.49

Paris Saint Germain xG

33%
25%
42%
NantesDrawParis Saint Germain

3.05

33%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

23%

Nantes

4.41

28%

Paris Saint Germain

3.61

Win to Nil

7%

Nantes

13.47

12%

Paris Saint Germain

8.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.3 6.9 3.4 1.3 0.4
1 8.1 12.0 8.9 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 5.2 7.7 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.2 3.3 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.283
λ Away (xG) 1.485
Total xG 2.768
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.266
Nantes attack strength 0.937
Nantes defence strength 0.892
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.315
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.949
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 34 / 34