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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

52%

Nantes

1.91

31%

Draw

3.23

17%

Montpellier

5.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.4%

Draw

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.24

Nantes xG

Total xG

1.81

0.57

Montpellier xG

52%
31%
17%
NantesDrawMontpellier

1.91

52%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

5.99

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.20

69%

BTTS No

1.46

Clean Sheet

57%

Nantes

1.77

29%

Montpellier

3.45

Win to Nil

30%

Nantes

3.38

5%

Montpellier

20.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.4 9.3 2.7 0.5 0.1
1 20.3 11.6 3.3 0.6 0.1
2 12.6 7.2 2.0 0.4 0.1
3 5.2 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 0.9 0.3
5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.239
λ Away (xG) 0.570
Total xG 1.809
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.390
Nantes attack strength 0.718
Nantes defence strength 0.783
Montpellier attack strength 0.524
Montpellier defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67