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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 10 Jan 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

22%

Nantes

4.52

29%

Draw

3.45

49%

Monaco

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.91

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.38

1.47

Monaco xG

22%
29%
49%
NantesDrawMonaco

4.52

22%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

23%

Nantes

4.34

40%

Monaco

2.48

Win to Nil

5%

Nantes

19.61

20%

Monaco

5.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 13.6 10.0 4.9 1.8 0.5
1 8.4 12.4 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 3.8 5.6 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.910
λ Away (xG) 1.468
Total xG 2.378
League avg home goals 1.567
League avg away goals 1.269
Nantes attack strength 0.753
Nantes defence strength 1.034
Monaco attack strength 1.118
Monaco defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50