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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

37%

Nantes

2.68

24%

Draw

4.15

39%

Lille

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Nantes xG

Total xG

3.04

1.54

Lille xG

37%
24%
39%
NantesDrawLille

2.68

37%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

22%

Nantes

4.65

22%

Lille

4.52

Win to Nil

8%

Nantes

12.45

9%

Lille

11.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 7.3 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.2 11.0 8.5 4.3 1.7 0.5
2 5.4 8.3 6.4 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.7 4.2 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.508
λ Away (xG) 1.536
Total xG 3.044
League avg home goals 1.734
League avg away goals 1.269
Nantes attack strength 0.822
Nantes defence strength 0.885
Lille attack strength 1.368
Lille defence strength 1.059
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41