Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

20%

Nantes

5.09

22%

Draw

4.57

58%

Lens

1.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.95

1.93

Lens xG

20%
22%
58%
NantesDrawLens

5.09

20%

Home win

4.57

22%

Draw

1.71

58%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

15%

Nantes

6.87

36%

Lens

2.78

Win to Nil

3%

Nantes

34.99

21%

Lens

4.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 10.1 9.7 6.2 3.0 1.2
1 5.4 10.3 9.9 6.4 3.1 1.2
2 2.7 5.3 5.1 3.3 1.6 0.6
3 0.9 1.8 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.022
λ Away (xG) 1.927
Total xG 2.949
League avg home goals 1.623
League avg away goals 1.179
Nantes attack strength 0.719
Nantes defence strength 1.359
Lens attack strength 1.202
Lens defence strength 0.876
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48