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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nantes Win

46%

Nantes

2.17

31%

Draw

3.25

23%

Angers

4.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.7%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Nantes xG

Total xG

1.92

0.74

Angers xG

46%
31%
23%
NantesDrawAngers

2.17

46%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

4.34

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

48%

Nantes

2.10

31%

Angers

3.25

Win to Nil

22%

Nantes

4.54

7%

Angers

14.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.7 10.9 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 17.3 12.8 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 10.2 7.6 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 4.0 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.179
λ Away (xG) 0.741
Total xG 1.920
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.405
Nantes attack strength 0.779
Nantes defence strength 0.750
Angers attack strength 0.702
Angers defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 31