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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

28%

Montpellier

3.59

25%

Draw

4.01

47%

Rennes

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

2 – 1

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.37

1.92

Rennes xG

28%
25%
47%
MontpellierDrawRennes

3.59

28%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.00

Clean Sheet

15%

Montpellier

6.81

23%

Rennes

4.26

Win to Nil

4%

Montpellier

24.48

11%

Rennes

9.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 6.6 6.3 4.1 1.9 0.7
1 5.0 9.6 9.2 5.9 2.8 1.1
2 3.6 6.9 6.7 4.3 2.0 0.8
3 1.7 3.4 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.4
4 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.450
λ Away (xG) 1.919
Total xG 3.369
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.373
Montpellier attack strength 0.877
Montpellier defence strength 1.461
Rennes attack strength 0.956
Rennes defence strength 1.032
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57