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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reims Win

22%

Montpellier

4.61

26%

Draw

3.92

53%

Reims

1.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

0 – 2

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Montpellier xG

Total xG

2.45

1.56

Reims xG

22%
26%
53%
MontpellierDrawReims

4.61

22%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

1.89

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

21%

Montpellier

4.74

41%

Reims

2.45

Win to Nil

5%

Montpellier

21.85

22%

Reims

4.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 13.4 10.4 5.4 2.1 0.7
1 7.7 12.0 9.3 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 3.5 5.4 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.3
3 1.0 1.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.897
λ Away (xG) 1.557
Total xG 2.454
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 1.424
Montpellier attack strength 0.667
Montpellier defence strength 1.454
Reims attack strength 0.752
Reims defence strength 0.897
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64