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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

8%

Montpellier

12.87

13%

Draw

7.89

80%

Paris Saint Germain

1.26

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

10.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 3

9.7%

Away win

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.83

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.75

2.91

Paris Saint Germain xG

13%
80%
MontpellierDrawParis Saint Germain

12.87

8%

Home win

7.89

13%

Draw

1.26

80%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

5%

Montpellier

18.39

43%

Paris Saint Germain

2.30

Win to Nil

0%

Montpellier

35%

Paris Saint Germain

2.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.4 6.9 10.0 9.7 7.1 4.1
1 2.0 5.7 8.3 8.1 5.9 3.4
2 0.8 2.4 3.5 3.4 2.5 1.4
3 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.4
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.834
λ Away (xG) 2.912
Total xG 3.746
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.412
Montpellier attack strength 0.638
Montpellier defence strength 1.336
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.544
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.902
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66