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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

21%

Montpellier

4.74

22%

Draw

4.49

57%

Monaco

1.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

0 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.51

2.20

Monaco xG

21%
22%
57%
MontpellierDrawMonaco

4.74

21%

Home win

4.49

22%

Draw

1.77

57%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.94

Clean Sheet

11%

Montpellier

9.03

27%

Monaco

3.70

Win to Nil

2%

Montpellier

42.84

15%

Monaco

6.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 6.6 7.2 5.3 2.9 1.3
1 3.9 8.6 9.5 7.0 3.8 1.7
2 2.6 5.6 6.2 4.5 2.5 1.1
3 1.1 2.5 2.7 2.0 1.1 0.5
4 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.308
λ Away (xG) 2.201
Total xG 3.509
League avg home goals 1.548
League avg away goals 1.326
Montpellier attack strength 0.984
Montpellier defence strength 1.479
Monaco attack strength 1.122
Monaco defence strength 0.859
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51