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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 31 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

24%

Montpellier

4.18

26%

Draw

3.86

50%

Lens

1.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.30

1.97

Lens xG

24%
26%
50%
MontpellierDrawLens

4.18

24%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

1.99

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.89

Clean Sheet

14%

Montpellier

7.16

26%

Lens

3.80

Win to Nil

3%

Montpellier

29.92

13%

Lens

7.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 7.2 7.1 4.7 2.3 0.9
1 4.9 9.7 9.5 6.2 3.1 1.2
2 3.3 6.5 6.3 4.2 2.0 0.8
3 1.5 2.9 2.8 1.9 0.9 0.4
4 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.336
λ Away (xG) 1.968
Total xG 3.304
League avg home goals 1.491
League avg away goals 1.268
Montpellier attack strength 1.048
Montpellier defence strength 1.425
Lens attack strength 1.089
Lens defence strength 0.855
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53