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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

49%

Monaco

2.04

25%

Draw

3.92

25%

Strasbourg

3.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Monaco xG

Total xG

2.58

1.03

Strasbourg xG

49%
25%
25%
MonacoDrawStrasbourg

2.04

49%

Home win

3.92

25%

Draw

3.93

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Monaco

2.82

21%

Strasbourg

4.69

Win to Nil

17%

Monaco

5.73

5%

Strasbourg

18.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.8 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.1 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.4 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 4.7 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.545
λ Away (xG) 1.035
Total xG 2.580
League avg home goals 1.571
League avg away goals 1.282
Monaco attack strength 1.260
Monaco defence strength 0.870
Strasbourg attack strength 0.929
Strasbourg defence strength 0.780
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36