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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

54%

Monaco

1.87

23%

Draw

4.27

23%

Strasbourg

4.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Monaco xG

Total xG

2.84

1.07

Strasbourg xG

54%
23%
23%
MonacoDrawStrasbourg

1.87

54%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

4.35

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

34%

Monaco

2.92

17%

Strasbourg

5.84

Win to Nil

18%

Monaco

5.46

4%

Strasbourg

25.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.3 11.1 6.0 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.764
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 2.837
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.444
Monaco attack strength 1.554
Monaco defence strength 0.810
Strasbourg attack strength 0.918
Strasbourg defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63