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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

54%

Monaco

1.86

22%

Draw

4.50

24%

Stade Brestois 29

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.13

1.22

Stade Brestois 29 xG

54%
22%
24%
MonacoDrawStade Brestois 29

1.86

54%

Home win

4.50

22%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

30%

Monaco

3.38

15%

Stade Brestois 29

6.79

Win to Nil

16%

Monaco

6.29

4%

Stade Brestois 29

28.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.3 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.4 10.2 6.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 8.0 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 5.1 6.2 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 3.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.916
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 3.133
League avg home goals 1.415
League avg away goals 1.180
Monaco attack strength 1.260
Monaco defence strength 1.053
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.980
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.075
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59