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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

25%

Monaco

3.93

22%

Draw

4.63

53%

Paris Saint Germain

1.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

0 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.35

2.01

Paris Saint Germain xG

25%
22%
53%
MonacoDrawParis Saint Germain

3.93

25%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

1.89

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.78

Clean Sheet

13%

Monaco

7.46

26%

Paris Saint Germain

3.83

Win to Nil

3%

Monaco

29.31

14%

Paris Saint Germain

7.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 7.0 7.1 4.7 2.4 1.0
1 4.7 9.4 9.5 6.4 3.2 1.3
2 3.2 6.3 6.4 4.3 2.1 0.9
3 1.4 2.8 2.8 1.9 1.0 0.4
4 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.342
λ Away (xG) 2.010
Total xG 3.352
League avg home goals 1.649
League avg away goals 1.219
Monaco attack strength 1.040
Monaco defence strength 1.209
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.364
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.783
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47