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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Wed 18 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

30%

Monaco

3.39

30%

Draw

3.30

40%

Paris Saint Germain

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Monaco xG

Total xG

2.47

1.35

Paris Saint Germain xG

30%
30%
40%
MonacoDrawParis Saint Germain

3.39

30%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

26%

Monaco

3.84

32%

Paris Saint Germain

3.08

Win to Nil

8%

Monaco

13.01

13%

Paris Saint Germain

7.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 11.4 7.7 3.4 1.2 0.3
1 9.5 12.8 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.3 7.2 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.124
λ Away (xG) 1.346
Total xG 2.470
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.274
Monaco attack strength 1.019
Monaco defence strength 0.835
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.265
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.730
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49