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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

49%

Monaco

2.03

23%

Draw

4.34

28%

Nantes

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.11

1.30

Nantes xG

49%
23%
28%
MonacoDrawNantes

2.03

49%

Home win

4.34

23%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

20%

Over 4.5

5.00

80%

Under 4.5

1.25

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

27%

Monaco

3.68

16%

Nantes

6.06

Win to Nil

13%

Monaco

7.50

5%

Nantes

21.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.5 5.8 3.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 8.1 10.5 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.3 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.802
λ Away (xG) 1.304
Total xG 3.106
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 1.171
Monaco attack strength 1.142
Monaco defence strength 1.188
Nantes attack strength 0.938
Nantes defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55