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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

16:00

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

67%

Monaco

1.49

17%

Draw

6.01

16%

Marseille

6.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Most likely

3 – 1

7.8%

Home win

2 – 0

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.70

Monaco xG

Total xG

4.00

1.30

Marseille xG

67%
17%
16%
MonacoDrawMarseille

1.49

67%

Home win

6.01

17%

Draw

6.15

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

57%

Over 3.5

1.75

43%

Under 3.5

2.33

37%

Over 4.5

2.70

63%

Under 4.5

1.59

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.47

32%

BTTS No

3.11

Clean Sheet

27%

Monaco

3.67

7%

Marseille

14.89

Win to Nil

18%

Monaco

5.46

1%

Marseille

91.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
1 4.9 6.4 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
2 6.7 8.7 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.0 7.8 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 4.1 5.3 3.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.701
λ Away (xG) 1.299
Total xG 4.000
League avg home goals 1.451
League avg away goals 1.411
Monaco attack strength 1.563
Monaco defence strength 0.910
Marseille attack strength 1.011
Marseille defence strength 1.191
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62