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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade Louis-II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

59%

Monaco

1.69

20%

Draw

5.07

21%

Lyon

4.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

Monaco xG

Total xG

3.55

1.29

Lyon xG

59%
20%
21%
MonacoDrawLyon

1.69

59%

Home win

5.07

20%

Draw

4.77

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.85

Clean Sheet

28%

Monaco

3.63

10%

Lyon

9.61

Win to Nil

16%

Monaco

6.12

2%

Lyon

45.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 6.5 8.4 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 7.3 9.5 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 5.5 7.1 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 3.1 4.0 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.263
λ Away (xG) 1.290
Total xG 3.553
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.412
Monaco attack strength 1.430
Monaco defence strength 0.765
Lyon attack strength 1.194
Lyon defence strength 1.093
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66