Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

31%

Monaco

3.21

29%

Draw

3.47

40%

Lille

2.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Monaco xG

Total xG

2.71

1.45

Lille xG

31%
29%
40%
MonacoDrawLille

3.21

31%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.50

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

23%

Monaco

4.27

28%

Lille

3.51

Win to Nil

7%

Monaco

13.70

11%

Lille

8.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 9.7 7.0 3.4 1.2 0.4
1 8.4 12.2 8.8 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 5.3 7.6 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.2 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.257
λ Away (xG) 1.451
Total xG 2.708
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.292
Monaco attack strength 1.161
Monaco defence strength 1.007
Lille attack strength 1.115
Lille defence strength 0.713
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66