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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade Louis II

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

53%

Monaco

1.90

24%

Draw

4.11

23%

Lens

4.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Monaco xG

Total xG

2.69

1.02

Lens xG

53%
24%
23%
MonacoDrawLens

1.90

53%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.33

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

36%

Monaco

2.77

19%

Lens

5.30

Win to Nil

19%

Monaco

5.27

4%

Lens

22.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.9 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.4 11.6 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.5 9.7 4.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.3 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.668
λ Away (xG) 1.019
Total xG 2.687
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.180
Monaco attack strength 1.098
Monaco defence strength 1.005
Lens attack strength 0.860
Lens defence strength 0.925
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45