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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

28%

Metz

3.63

23%

Draw

4.27

49%

Stade Brestois 29

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Metz xG

Total xG

3.02

1.76

Stade Brestois 29 xG

28%
23%
49%
MetzDrawStade Brestois 29

3.63

28%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.46

Clean Sheet

17%

Metz

5.80

28%

Stade Brestois 29

3.53

Win to Nil

5%

Metz

21.06

14%

Stade Brestois 29

7.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 8.6 7.5 4.4 1.9 0.7
1 6.2 10.8 9.5 5.6 2.4 0.9
2 3.9 6.8 6.0 3.5 1.5 0.5
3 1.6 2.9 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.261
λ Away (xG) 1.757
Total xG 3.018
League avg home goals 1.494
League avg away goals 1.180
Metz attack strength 0.750
Metz defence strength 1.431
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.040
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57